Could bring a huge shift
I think we are seeing a huge shift in the American way of life. The old idea was to use leverage to maximize whatever. Hedge funds, businesses and even everyday people when they bought homes used leverage.
But today all that is being turned on it's head. My crystal ball has been hazy in the past and I really hope it is not looking at things too clearly now because if it is right, we are in for some very different times.
We have for the most part lived our lives, with a expectation of getting ahead. With that premise, we bought homes that were just a little more expensive. We bought cars that were just a little more expensive and we were very willing to shop for designer brand name products.
But over the last decade, we have seen an untotaled number of good paying jobs, move overseas. But for the most part people just continued to live their old lifestyle, they just borrowed more and used their credit cards more.
The bubble was kept alive by bringing in more and more people. the majority of these people were getting in over their head right from the start, but that old adage that you can't lose money on property and the fact that they watched so many others live the life, that they just jumped in.
Now that it is coming unwound, leverage is working against the system and like Boss posted even the likes of Bear Stearns are being swept up in the crash. The real question is....will our old way of life come back?
Home values are falling and more and more people are being caught up in the crash. Just yesterday, I got a letter from a homeowner, (I am treasurer of our homeowners association) stating that after trying to sell his house for over two years, he just turned over the home to the bank and is walking away. The real sad part is that the amount that is owed on the home is about 40% less that what the that home could have sold for not too long ago.
The experts keeping saying that we are turning to a service oriented economy, but I am really having a hard time understanding how that is going to work. Let's say you are an electrician. The prices that were charged in the past were based on their skill and what the market could bear. But today with more and more of the population overextended, if your own income has fallen and your networth has fallen, how can you afford to pay the price that an electrician charges. And for the electrician, he has a choice to make, keep charging his old rate and watch the work dry up, or work for less, which in turn makes the cycle grow. The government can only do so much, so really I hope I'm wrong and I am misunderstanding how things will work out.
And we as business owners, in a luxury item business, are being swept up in the tide. I don't think too many of us have ever seen anything like this. We are in for some very interetsing times.