Ike
- Thread starter clay
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wildflowerschicago
New Member
Clay, we'll be hoping for Ike to be full of hot air and not much else for your sake! Stay dry and safe!!!!! Please check in and let us know you are ok!
I think we (the texans) are going to all get it...
I think it will hit north of Corpus, run 50 miles, turn north up the coast line and follow I 59 or Hwy 77 north.
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Sher
New Member
Watching the bands hit key west as we speak...all the idiots that raised hell over being evacuated..well Duvall street is flooded just now and the surge came in with the high tide.......hurricane watchers are nuts! Standing at the southermost point and trying to keep from being sucked back into the ocean...this is a major 'cane...you Texan friends need to really be focused on being prepared......we re in the middle of the next county and having wind gusts that are bending trees...the size of this one is 140 miles wide ....shutters, batteries, generators, charge your phones and laptops, collect your meds, insurance papers, gas up all of your vehicles, freeze up some water bags or bottles etc etc...and dont forget your PB & J!
Prayers to all of you!
Sher
Prayers to all of you!
Sher
Sher, thanks for the call today. As of right now, it shows a direct hit. It has been since 2003 since we have had a direct hit hurricane (Claudette) which they classifed as a 1 (but local readings had it as a 2). This one is nastier, I am guessing that they will issue mandatory "get the hell out" for sure on Thursday morning....but I am guessing tomorrow after the Texas evacuation fiasco before. The wife already has 2 boys and 2 dogs driving to stay with Jared in College Station. Anyho, thanks for the thoughts and prayers....we will keep our fingers crossed.
BOSS
FlowerChat Administrator
Ike 5 day trackerhurricane watchers are nuts!
Says who? I love storms....!!
collect your meds, Well..duh
Ike Live Satellite
Our prayers are with ya'll.... take care and God Bless!
Connie
New Member
Jeezz...this think will not make up it's mind. This morning they revised it to be closer to Houston, but now that it is speeding up they are projecting more back down our way.
Not a good sign that CNN (I did not throw eggs at their van) booked 16 rooms in Victoria for 3 weeks.
Interesting thing I learned from my bookkeepers husband, a City of Victoria Policeman. His "division" is to go 60 miles north to Gonzales, TX during the storm to ride it out....I guess that in the case of a worst case, they do not want all of their marbles in one basket.
The only businesses open today are the gas stations, convience stores, Lowes/Home Depot, and the grocery stores.
I hope that I did not tempt fate with my sign.....
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a seasoned evacuation
Here is my evacuation advise:
empty your refrigerator (there is a story there best told over a margurita)
leave a day before you think you need to
leave at 3:00 am
pack more than you think you need
take: your computer, your birth certificates - passports - insurance phone numbers - as many phone numbers as you can lay your hands on - and your dog's shot records - some hotels want to see it
your cell phones may not work to call out - the networks are busy - so text like a teenager!
Good luck. If you want to head to New Orleans - I have a guest room - and plenty of work this weekend!
Here is my evacuation advise:
empty your refrigerator (there is a story there best told over a margurita)
leave a day before you think you need to
leave at 3:00 am
pack more than you think you need
take: your computer, your birth certificates - passports - insurance phone numbers - as many phone numbers as you can lay your hands on - and your dog's shot records - some hotels want to see it
your cell phones may not work to call out - the networks are busy - so text like a teenager!
Good luck. If you want to head to New Orleans - I have a guest room - and plenty of work this weekend!
Ike is moving west-northwest at 10 mph...
Anticipated surge is in the 15-20 foot range hitting Galveston Bay and the San Jacinto River ...
Expected land fall is between Sargent and Freeport around 4:00AM Sat - about 55 miles south-west of us…then move up to Wharton, Sealy and College Station (bright green line)
or expected land fall between Freeport and Surfside around 1:00AM Sat, then up Hwy 288, thru downtown Houston up I-45 to East Texas (dark green line)
Width more than 500 miles, so 200 miles away from the center you will still get 40 to 50 mph winds…(oh, the center is about 30 miles wide)
Not expected to linger over the Greater Houston area and become a major flooding threat, but 15-20 surge in Galveston Bay expected to create major flooding on the east side of Houston...
So what does this mean...
Well, if it goes the bright green line (look at the map I made), Clay will be on the clean and get 30 to 40 mph winds and 2 to 3 inches of rain...
For that same bright green line, Renee and I will be on the dirty side with 110 mph wind and 8 to 10 inches of rain...
Well, if it goes the dark green line, all three of us will be on the clean side...Clay might get some rain and wind, Renee and I will get 60 to70 mph wind and 4 to 6 inches of rain.
Sounds great, we vote for the dark green line, but that means the edge of the eye of the storm will go over the large refinery in the US (Exxon) and the second large refinery (Shell) with wind in the 120 to 110 range...
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Anticipated surge is in the 15-20 foot range hitting Galveston Bay and the San Jacinto River ...
Expected land fall is between Sargent and Freeport around 4:00AM Sat - about 55 miles south-west of us…then move up to Wharton, Sealy and College Station (bright green line)
or expected land fall between Freeport and Surfside around 1:00AM Sat, then up Hwy 288, thru downtown Houston up I-45 to East Texas (dark green line)
Width more than 500 miles, so 200 miles away from the center you will still get 40 to 50 mph winds…(oh, the center is about 30 miles wide)
Not expected to linger over the Greater Houston area and become a major flooding threat, but 15-20 surge in Galveston Bay expected to create major flooding on the east side of Houston...
So what does this mean...
Well, if it goes the bright green line (look at the map I made), Clay will be on the clean and get 30 to 40 mph winds and 2 to 3 inches of rain...
For that same bright green line, Renee and I will be on the dirty side with 110 mph wind and 8 to 10 inches of rain...
Well, if it goes the dark green line, all three of us will be on the clean side...Clay might get some rain and wind, Renee and I will get 60 to70 mph wind and 4 to 6 inches of rain.
Sounds great, we vote for the dark green line, but that means the edge of the eye of the storm will go over the large refinery in the US (Exxon) and the second large refinery (Shell) with wind in the 120 to 110 range...
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Yea, I saw that it moved over....I wish you Houston galls luck.
I heard from a state announcement that it could still pack tropical storm winds all the way up to Dallas.
Jared, I hope you have enough battery power on your laptop, good chance that parts of College Station is going to loose power.
BOSS
FlowerChat Administrator
Side bar: Clay...has Brent vanished already?
Yesterday we brought Houston up in Google Earth, flattened it out and made the buildings 3-D...looks like a lot of GLASS on the tall buildings?
Whats the expected aftermath of downtown?
And how far above sea level is Houston? I know the center of downtown is about 49 miles from the coast, and with expected 18-24 foot waves and storm surge, I'm assuming it'll be under water by this evening?
Our prayers are with you all, and know us northerners will be thinking of you steadily for the next couple days.
God bless Texas!
Yesterday we brought Houston up in Google Earth, flattened it out and made the buildings 3-D...looks like a lot of GLASS on the tall buildings?
Whats the expected aftermath of downtown?
And how far above sea level is Houston? I know the center of downtown is about 49 miles from the coast, and with expected 18-24 foot waves and storm surge, I'm assuming it'll be under water by this evening?
Our prayers are with you all, and know us northerners will be thinking of you steadily for the next couple days.
God bless Texas!
Yes, Downtown Houston is mostly tall buildings and lots of glass...
We don't know what to expect in aftermath because they don't know where the eye will pass Downtown Houston...There is a low pressure front west of Texas that will take over the steering of this huricane within the next 24 hours...when that happens, this huricane will turn north and then turn northeast. There is a high pressure front over Mississippi that is pushing the huricane west and won't let it turn north
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if the low doesn't take control until after 4AM Sat Ike will follow the bright green path I drew on the map...and Downtown Houston will have some broken glass, but not much damage.
if the low takes control of Ike by 1AM Sat then Ike will follow the dark green path I drew on the map...and Downtown Houston will have major damage but not expecting flooding...
if the low takes control of Ike late today, then Downtown Houston will be on the clean side.
BOSS said:
Houston is 50 feet above sea level...We are expecting 15-20 feet of surge to hit...this will put most of Galveston, Texas City, La Porte, some of Pasadena, some of Baytown and part of southeast Houston under water. No matter where the eye of the huricane hits, they are expecting this surge flooding. Parts of Galveston, Texas City and Kemha are already under water and the storm is still 250 miles east but the surge is up 8 feet so far.
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I lived in Houston in 1983 when it got hit with Alicia. The downtown glass sided sky scrapers got ALL broken up from all of the roofing aggrigate from the smaller buildings.....now they have a law against that type of roof downtown.
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Galveston Strand is 3 feet under water and storm still in the gulf...
Looks like the whole Galveston Island including the city will be under water...
We have 24 to 30 mph winds and some rain bands (not much rain yet)...
Forgot to tell you about the map...the dark red circle around downtown Houston is called Loop 610. .. You will see three bright red stars on the left (west) side of Loop 610. The lower star is my house, the middle star is Renee's and the next one up is Renee's shop...The yellow circle just outside of these stars is called Beltway 8. The third circle is Hwy 6 and FM 1960 (same road) The star above I-10 on Hwy 6 is Kathy with Olive Tree Florist (can't remember Kathy's FC name)
They are still saying my house will have 70 to 80 mph wind...and the huricane will be following the dark green path.
I will be leaving shortly to stay at Renee's house...
Will try to post later.
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Galveston Strand is 3 feet under water and storm still in the gulf...
Looks like the whole Galveston Island including the city will be under water...
We have 24 to 30 mph winds and some rain bands (not much rain yet)...
Forgot to tell you about the map...the dark red circle around downtown Houston is called Loop 610. .. You will see three bright red stars on the left (west) side of Loop 610. The lower star is my house, the middle star is Renee's and the next one up is Renee's shop...The yellow circle just outside of these stars is called Beltway 8. The third circle is Hwy 6 and FM 1960 (same road) The star above I-10 on Hwy 6 is Kathy with Olive Tree Florist (can't remember Kathy's FC name)
They are still saying my house will have 70 to 80 mph wind...and the huricane will be following the dark green path.
I will be leaving shortly to stay at Renee's house...
Will try to post later.
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Rhonda
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