Mikey the Flower Guy said:
.....the fly in the ointment is the IRRATIONAL behaviour, of otherwise rational people!!
We've spent YEARS trying to figure out the driving force behind the "divine" REQUIREMENT to belong (to a ws, or similar) yet would "knock" at death's door SHOULD there NOT be a WS to blame for the "ills" of our industry!!
The essence of "Prisoner's Dilemma" phenomenon is a conflict between individual and group rationality. A group whose members pursue rational self-interest would all end up *worse* off than a group whose members cooperate and act contrary to self-interest.
When we individuals make decisions (like join or not join a wire service), we all try to maximize our own payoff from these decisions. Unfortunately, there are many situations where, if we individuals pursue self-interests, we *as a group* end up being worse off. That's what we are seeing here.
In the previous example of two florists (George and Bill), as a group, they would definitely be better off if they both remained independent (i.e., not joining a wire service). But individual rationale dictates that, no matter what the other florist does, each florist would be better off joining the service. As the result, both florists end up joining it and therefore worse off as a group.
Likewise, those florists who join multiple wire-services are making rational decisions at individual level. But since almost every one of their competitors are doing the same, they all end up being worse off than anticipated.
It's just that there is a conflict between individual rationality and group rationality in the case of wire services.
There is no technical solution for this conflict, because individuals, whether they are persons or businesses, always pursue self-interests. That's human nature and cannot be changed. Appeal to consciousness, morality, ethics, whatever, will not succeed. If it could, we wouldn't have a highway (group interest) littered with all those garbages thrown out of passing cars (individual interests).
I feel that wire services are here to stay, unfortunately I might add. On the other hand, we might be seeing a kind of "florist" (note the double quote) who only does wire-in orders. This florist will be located perhaps in an industrial park near a major highway. They don't care about walk-ins because they have none. They will have a fleet of delivery vans and highly efficient delivery tracking and inventory control system, so that they can take low-margin orders and still make money.
If this kind of super flower-delivery specialist pops ups, any small retail florists within 30 mile radius might be wiped out if they are dependent on wire-ins. What would happen if Wal-Mart/FTD started doing something like this? Or are they already? If wire services stay, I feel that's what is going to happen: emergence of efficient wire-in filling specialists. Any individual florist whose businesses depend on wire-ins would not be able to compete.